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Strategic decisions and risk management

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No 2 (2012)
https://doi.org/10.17747/2078-8886-2012-2

НАУКА

58-65 1883
Abstract
We analyze the influence of the annual increase in tariff rates for housing services and utilities on the financial condition of enterprises of this sector of the economy, the renovation of their main funds and communal infrastructure; the necessity of works aimed at the renovation and modernization of the main funds of the objects of the communal infrastructure is motivated. It is shown how big the need for a strategy of a stable functioning and development of the industry is, the need for the development of the main principles and evaluation criteria of its implementation, indicators of the level of the achievement of the desired goal and directions of perfection of the state regulation of housing services and utilities with the strengthening of regulatory functions. A special attention is paid to the development of the investment strategy of public utilities and to the change of the adjustment
mechanism of current tariff rates.
66-73 2509
Abstract
The article runs about the necessity of improvement method of account efficiency of the investment project in condition unstable economic development. In article offered a method of reducing investment risk in the account of the investment project of real option method in condition indeterminacy. For this purpose developed the formula for determining the discount rate of each scenario of events. In addition, authors develop the concept of construction of stages for the purpose of definition of scenarios of the investment project and their probability with a view of overcoming of the basic problems of use of multiscenary model for estimation of cost of real options. For the purpose of decrease in risks of the operating enterprise both classification of real options is developed for a conclusion of the enterprise from crisis, and as a preventive measure, with instructions of sources of financial resources
74-80 1159
Abstract

In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise.

82-90 2893
Abstract

Stand-alone energy system must provide reliable electricity and heat consumers. In this paper we investigate the efficiency of the energy complex consisting of wind, heat pump, diesel power plants with the accumulation system of hydrogen. We consider the joint use of wind power, low-temperature heat sources using heat pump unit and energy storage system based on hydrogen energy in Russia.

92-98 869
Abstract

The approaches to the regulation of the bank activity from the perspective of monitoring the presence of a foreign capital on the basis of the model analysis are considered in the article.

 

100-106 1349
Abstract

This article investigates indications of approach of instability of the industrial organization on the basis of the system approach. Monitoring of these indications is considered as one of conditions of maintenance of its business. Author offers the system of indications of threat of approach of financial and economic instability of business, developed on the basis of the definition of financial and economic instability developed by the author and the conducted statistical research. This system is considered in a cut making parts of business resistibility to negative factors and strategy of its development.



ISSN 2618-947X (Print)
ISSN 2618-9984 (Online)