FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY
https://doi.org/10.17747/2078-8886-2012-2-74-80
Abstract
In order to take a rational decision about construction of a ship it is necessary to have an adequate predictive estimate of a construction cost. Traditional forecasting methods do not provide the required level of reliability of a shipyard’s cost estimates. The method of cost forecasting based on fuzzy logic system is proposed. This method has several advantages, including: use of fuzzy initial information for forecasting; increase of the result’s validity due to the potential of use all relevant information for forecasting. In view of the aforesaid it increases the validity of management decisions and has a positive impact on the overall economic sustainability of an enterprise.
About the Authors
M. Y. Alekhin
St. Petersburg State Marine Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Doctor of Economics, professor, head of the department of shipbuilding production management
V. V. Raev
St. Petersburg State Marine Technical University
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in Economics, senior professor of the department of shipbuilding production management
Russian Federation
Ph.D. in Economics, senior professor of the department of shipbuilding production management
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Review
For citations:
Alekhin M.Y., Raev V.V. FORECASTING OF SHIP’S CONSTRUCTION COST BY USING THE METHOD OF THE FUZZY SETS THEORY. Strategic decisions and risk management. 2012;(2):74-80. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17747/2078-8886-2012-2-74-80
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